Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.608207 0.762878 0.928788 1.118073 1.326274 1.546735 1.796316
2025-02-16 0.415546 0.630043 0.880859 1.186712 1.541812 1.934576 2.395825
2025-02-23 0.296789 0.530760 0.824066 1.199243 1.650576 2.163306 2.778381
2025-03-02 0.187463 0.416108 0.727871 1.147837 1.671423 2.281592 3.027953
2025-03-09 0.108325 0.318535 0.634879 1.084512 1.664665 2.356677 3.217784
2025-03-16 0.061482 0.253282 0.573589 1.052044 1.687914 2.461049 3.436337
2025-03-23 0.039399 0.223304 0.558021 1.076587 1.780031 2.646347 3.748976
2025-03-30 0.021035 0.189387 0.530154 1.079771 1.841508 2.791918 4.012403
2025-04-06 0.007396 0.151367 0.488121 1.057708 1.866255 2.889382 4.215718
2025-04-13 0.003589 0.142225 0.495143 1.106924 1.985694 3.105253 4.563122
2025-04-20 0.001301 0.134009 0.502246 1.155394 2.103682 3.319143 4.908178
2025-04-27 0.000306 0.129196 0.514938 1.211985 2.232609 3.546979 5.270604
2025-05-04 0.000052 0.132159 0.546450 1.303270 2.416811 3.854698 5.743576
2025-05-11 NaN 0.124935 0.556144 1.360881 2.556050 4.107274 6.151759
2025-05-18 NaN 0.108431 0.542415 1.379056 2.638818 4.286060 6.467386
2025-05-25 NaN 0.076828 0.485470 1.322336 2.613336 4.323086 6.605389
2025-06-01 NaN 0.049229 0.425625 1.254303 2.567443 4.330444 6.703736
2025-06-08 NaN 0.032807 0.387446 1.219090 2.565796 4.393296 6.869410
2025-06-15 NaN 0.027540 0.383996 1.245666 2.654859 4.576324 7.187233
2025-06-22 NaN 0.020328 0.368822 1.249100 2.708661 4.711885 7.444522
2025-06-29 NaN 0.012034 0.340603 1.225240 2.719932 4.789499 7.627294
2025-07-06 NaN 0.011444 0.351934 1.278446 2.848613 5.025701 8.013352
2025-07-13 NaN 0.010826 0.362803 1.330766 2.976066 5.260441 8.397821